Wednesday, April 27, 2005

What a difference a day makes!

Ahead of the season both Neil and I identified the potential injury risk that both our rotations carried -– well within the space of a week, and only 20 odd games into the season, 30% of our combined rotations are now on the DL –- Wright, Wells and now Schilling.

In 2004, the Sox starters never missed a turn in the rotation, although spot starts were required at various points to cover for extended A-S breaks, and the various doubleheaders. Knowing that the 2005 team were unlikely to repeat that luck, the Sox built starting depth into the roster, – with the acquisitions of Wade Miller and John Halama providing the necessary depth. Less than five days ago, Sox fans were discussing which starter should be moved to the bullpen to accommodate Miller’'s return, given that four of the five were in form, and the fifth was considered to be only a matter of time.

However,– if a week is a long time in politics…

Assuming that Schilling comes of the DL some time around the 20th of May, and that Miller meets the same sort of timetable, here are the Sox fixtures over the next 20 days – with probable starters;

Date

Opponent

Probable Starter

29-Apr-05

@ Texas Rangers

Wakefield

30-Apr-05

@ Texas Rangers

Arroyo

1-May-05

@ Texas Rangers

Clement

2-May-05

@ Detroit Tigers

Halama

3-May-05

@ Detroit Tigers


4-May-05

@ Detroit Tigers

Wakefield

5-May-05

@ Detroit Tigers

Arroyo

6-May-05

Seattle Mariners

Clement

7-May-05

Seattle Mariners

Halama

8-May-05

Seattle Mariners


9-May-05

Oakland Athletics

Wakefield

10-May-05

Oakland Athletics

Arroyo

11-May-05

Oakland Athletics

Clement

12-May-05

Off Day


13-May-05

@ Seattle Mariners

Halama

14-May-05

@ Seattle Mariners

Wakefield

15-May-05

@ Seattle Mariners

Arroyo

16-May-05

@ Oakland Athletics

Clement

17-May-05

@ Oakland Athletics


18-May-05

@ Oakland Athletics

Halama

No disrespect intended, but that table doesn’t fill you with huge amounts of confidence. –It is not that the starters penciled in aren'’t capable of winning their starts, I am just not sure that they are (generally speaking) the starters that you look at before the start of each game and say, we will be strong favorites in that match up.

And that leaves possibly three starts that we need from elsewhere in our roster, with– the early 'favorites' appearing to be Lenny DiNardo, a Rule 5 pick up from the Mets in 2004 (who spent a long time on the DL last year with a blister – the Sox weren’t playing fast and loose with the Rule 5 rules were they?), and Jeremi Gonzalez – who pitched for the Cubs in the early part of his career, disappeared (I presume with an injury), then reappeared in the Devil Rays organization - you can find his career stats and an interesting summary at SoxProspects.com - if you are going to be compared with Derek Lowe, I am guessing his mound presence isn't really the characteristic that you would want first on that list!

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